Research Seminar in Quantitative Economics

  1. November 16, 2023

    Economic forecast sees modest growth; uncertainty remains

    The U.S. economy should avoid a recession over the next two years, though economic growth is expected to be modest, according to U-M economists.

  2. November 17, 2022

    U-M economists expect ‘mild recession’ for Michigan

    U-M economists predict a mild U.S. recession is likely in store to whip inflation, though there’s hope the strength of the automotive sector will shield Michigan from the worst effects of that potential downturn.

  3. November 19, 2021

    Michigan economy recovering but inflation, supply strains concerning

    Michigan’s economy is recovering from the pandemic-induced recession at a faster pace than previous downturns, but a sharp rise in inflation and supply chain difficulties have been souring perceptions of the economy.

  4. November 18, 2021

    U-M economists see signs of U.S. growth amid volatile picture

    The U.S. job market has been recovering despite pandemic waves, inflation woes and supply chain strains, yet those and other barriers could threaten broad, sustained economic momentum.

  5. October 13, 2021

    Wayne County recovery expected to be strong but uneven

    Wayne County has recovered most of its employment losses from the start of the pandemic, although the comeback varies among the kinds of jobs and between some of its affluent suburbs and the city of Detroit, according to a U-M study.

  6. November 20, 2020

    State forecast: Slow emergence from COVID-19 recession

    Michigan’s economy is expected to gradually emerge from the pandemic-induced recession, but the pace and degree of the recovery will vary widely, U-M economists predict.

  7. November 19, 2020

    U.S. forecast: Economic growth slowing until vaccine is available

    U-M economists expect a rebound in economic activity, falling unemployment and life returning to “close-to-normal” by the end of next year in the United States as the nation and world recover from the pandemic.

  8. March 19, 2020

    U-M economists: New models see coronavirus-induced recession

    U-M economists now expect a U.S. recession caused by the coronavirus, though a rapidly evolving, uncertain situation makes drawing firm conclusions difficult.

  9. February 10, 2020

    Forecast reports Detroit job growth higher than Michigan overall

    In partnership with U-M, the city of Detroit has released its first forecast for the city, which shows ongoing gains in household income, employment and labor force participation through 2024.

  10. November 22, 2019

    Michigan’s economy weathers a challenging year

    The UAW strike, the trade war and job cuts at Ford and GM all contributed to slow annual growth for Michigan’s economy, but U-M economists foresee sustained growth for 2020 and 2021.