Research Seminar in Quantitative Economics
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May 18, 2024
U-M forecasts: Michigan economy strong, U.S. holds up amid inflation
Michigan’s economy is off to a strong start this year and expected to experience steady job growth, while the U.S. economy as a whole offers a slightly noisier picture, according to U-M economists.
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November 16, 2023
Economic forecast sees modest growth; uncertainty remains
The U.S. economy should avoid a recession over the next two years, though economic growth is expected to be modest, according to U-M economists.
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November 17, 2022
U-M economists expect ‘mild recession’ for Michigan
U-M economists predict a mild U.S. recession is likely in store to whip inflation, though there’s hope the strength of the automotive sector will shield Michigan from the worst effects of that potential downturn.
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November 19, 2021
Michigan economy recovering but inflation, supply strains concerning
Michigan’s economy is recovering from the pandemic-induced recession at a faster pace than previous downturns, but a sharp rise in inflation and supply chain difficulties have been souring perceptions of the economy.
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November 18, 2021
U-M economists see signs of U.S. growth amid volatile picture
The U.S. job market has been recovering despite pandemic waves, inflation woes and supply chain strains, yet those and other barriers could threaten broad, sustained economic momentum.
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October 13, 2021
Wayne County recovery expected to be strong but uneven
Wayne County has recovered most of its employment losses from the start of the pandemic, although the comeback varies among the kinds of jobs and between some of its affluent suburbs and the city of Detroit, according to a U-M study.
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November 20, 2020
State forecast: Slow emergence from COVID-19 recession
Michigan’s economy is expected to gradually emerge from the pandemic-induced recession, but the pace and degree of the recovery will vary widely, U-M economists predict.
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November 19, 2020
U.S. forecast: Economic growth slowing until vaccine is available
U-M economists expect a rebound in economic activity, falling unemployment and life returning to “close-to-normal” by the end of next year in the United States as the nation and world recover from the pandemic.
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March 19, 2020
U-M economists: New models see coronavirus-induced recession
U-M economists now expect a U.S. recession caused by the coronavirus, though a rapidly evolving, uncertain situation makes drawing firm conclusions difficult.
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February 10, 2020
Forecast reports Detroit job growth higher than Michigan overall
In partnership with U-M, the city of Detroit has released its first forecast for the city, which shows ongoing gains in household income, employment and labor force participation through 2024.